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Given two events A and B from the sigma-field of a probability space, with the unconditional probability of B being greater than zero (i.e., P(B) > 0), the conditional probability of A given B (()) is the probability of A occurring if B has or is assumed to have happened. [5]
Conditional probability is the probability of some event A, given the occurrence of some other event B. Conditional probability is written (), and is read "the probability of A, given B". It is defined by [33] = ()
P(B | A) is the proportion of outcomes with property B out of outcomes with property A, and P(A | B) is the proportion of those with A out of those with B (the posterior). The role of Bayes' theorem can be shown with tree diagrams. The two diagrams partition the same outcomes by A and B in opposite orders, to obtain the inverse probabilities ...
Given two jointly distributed random variables and , the conditional probability distribution of given is the probability distribution of when is known to be a particular value; in some cases the conditional probabilities may be expressed as functions containing the unspecified value of as a parameter.
The simplest example given by Thimbleby of a possible problem when using an immediate-execution calculator is 4 × (−5). As a written formula the value of this is −20 because the minus sign is intended to indicate a negative number, rather than a subtraction, and this is the way that it would be interpreted by a formula calculator.
The projection of a onto b is often written as or a ∥b. The vector component or vector resolute of a perpendicular to b , sometimes also called the vector rejection of a from b (denoted oproj b a {\displaystyle \operatorname {oproj} _{\mathbf {b} }\mathbf {a} } or a ⊥ b ), [ 1 ] is the orthogonal projection of a onto the plane (or ...
Conditional dependence of A and B given C is the logical negation of conditional independence (()). [6] In conditional independence two events (which may be dependent or not) become independent given the occurrence of a third event. [7]
In words: the variance of Y is the sum of the expected conditional variance of Y given X and the variance of the conditional expectation of Y given X. The first term captures the variation left after "using X to predict Y", while the second term captures the variation due to the mean of the prediction of Y due to the randomness of X.