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Voters view Trump’s presidency more positively than Biden’s. The latest NBC News poll finds President Joe Biden with a job rating of 41% approve, 58% disapprove. By comparison, Trump’s ...
The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee.
In that July poll, Trump was ahead of Biden by 2 points, 45% to 43%. The new poll shows the key voting blocs that have moved — and those that haven’t really budged — since Biden’s exit.
Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race.
In 2020, something called nonresponse bias — essentially, Biden supporters seemed more eager or available to respond than Trump supporters — might have made Biden’s lead look bigger than it was.
On the morning of November 7 at approximately 11:25 a.m. EST, roughly three and a half days after polls had closed, ABC News, NBC News, CBS News, the Associated Press, CNN, and Fox News all called the election and Pennsylvania's 20 electoral votes for Biden, based on projections of votes in Pennsylvania showing him leading outside of the ...
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