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  2. Orders of magnitude (probability) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orders_of_magnitude...

    2.7×10 −3: Probability of a random day of the year being your birthday (for all birthdays besides Feb. 29) 4×10 −3: Probability of being dealt a straight in poker 10 −2: Centi-(c) 1.8×10 −2: Probability of winning any prize in the UK National Lottery with one ticket in 2003 2.1×10 −2: Probability of being dealt a three of a kind ...

  3. Positive and negative predictive values - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Positive_and_negative...

    The positive predictive value (PPV), or precision, is defined as = + = where a "true positive" is the event that the test makes a positive prediction, and the subject has a positive result under the gold standard, and a "false positive" is the event that the test makes a positive prediction, and the subject has a negative result under the gold standard.

  4. Exact test - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exact_test

    However, in practice, most implementations of non-parametric test software use asymptotical algorithms to obtain the significance value, which renders the test non-exact. Hence, when a result of statistical analysis is termed an “exact test” or specifies an “exact p-value”, this implies that the test is defined without parametric ...

  5. Probability distribution - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_distribution

    A discrete probability distribution is the probability distribution of a random variable that can take on only a countable number of values [15] (almost surely) [16] which means that the probability of any event can be expressed as a (finite or countably infinite) sum: = (=), where is a countable set with () =.

  6. Sequential probability ratio test - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sequential_probability...

    For instance, suppose the cutscore is set at 70% for a test. We could select p 1 = 0.65 and p 2 = 0.75. The test then evaluates the likelihood that an examinee's true score on that metric is equal to one of those two points. If the examinee is determined to be at 75%, they pass, and they fail if they are determined to be at 65%.

  7. Problem of points - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Problem_of_points

    The problem of points, also called the problem of division of the stakes, is a classical problem in probability theory.One of the famous problems that motivated the beginnings of modern probability theory in the 17th century, it led Blaise Pascal to the first explicit reasoning about what today is known as an expected value.

  8. Probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability

    Probability is the branch of mathematics and statistics concerning events and numerical descriptions of how likely they are to occur. The probability of an event is a number between 0 and 1; the larger the probability, the more likely an event is to occur. [note 1] [1] [2] A simple example is the tossing of a fair (unbiased) coin. Since the ...

  9. Checking whether a coin is fair - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Checking_whether_a_coin_is...

    The graph on the right shows the probability density function of r given that 7 heads were obtained in 10 tosses. (Note: r is the probability of obtaining heads when tossing the same coin once.) Plot of the probability density f(r | H = 7, T = 3) = 1320 r 7 (1 − r) 3 with r ranging from 0 to 1