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  2. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FiveThirtyEight

    The UK election was the first time the FiveThirtyEight team did an election night 'liveblog' of a non-U.S. election. [538 37] In April 2010, The Guardian published Silver's predictions for the 2010 United Kingdom General Election. The majority of polling organisations in the UK use the concept of uniform swing to

  3. Who is winning current 2024 US presidential election polls ...

    www.aol.com/winning-current-2024-us-presidential...

    ABC News project 538: This poll currently shows Harris with a 47.9% to 47.0% edge over Trump. 270towin : Showing a composite of the latest national polls , Harris currently leads Trump by 1.1%.

  4. Who is winning latest 2024 US presidential election polls ...

    www.aol.com/winning-latest-2024-us-presidential...

    ABC News project 538: This poll currently shows Harris with a 47.9% to 47.0% edge over Trump. 270towin : Showing a composite of the latest national polls , Harris currently leads Trump by 1.1%.

  5. The 2024 election could come down to a single tipping ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/2024-election-could-come-down...

    Tellingly, 538’s latest presidential election forecast gives Vice President Kamala Harris the narrowest of advantages over former President Donald Trump — she wins in 57 in 100 simulations ...

  6. Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 United States ...

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling...

    The following head-to-head polls feature some of the individuals who officially declared their candidacies. The incumbent president, Joe Biden , won the Democratic primaries. On July 21, 2024, Biden withdrew from the presidential campaign and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris , who shortly thereafter became the official nominee of the ...

  7. Who's leading in the US presidential polls? See Trump, Harris ...

    www.aol.com/whos-leading-us-presidential-polls...

    ABC News Project 538: The final poll shows Harris with a 48.0% to 46.8% edge over Trump. 270toWin : Showing a composite of the latest national polls , Harris currently leads Trump by 1.2%.

  8. Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 United States ...

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statewide_opinion_polling...

    Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on ...

  9. How 538's 2024 House election forecast works - AOL

    www.aol.com/538s-2024-house-election-forecast...

    On Tuesday, 538 released its 2024 election forecast for the House of Representatives. The general idea behind our forecast is to combine polling data (say, on which party Americans want to control ...