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In statistics, the conditional probability table (CPT) is defined for a set of discrete and mutually dependent random variables to display conditional probabilities of a single variable with respect to the others (i.e., the probability of each possible value of one variable if we know the values taken on by the other variables).
[50] [13] [49] The conditional probability of winning by switching is 1/3 / 1/3 + 1/6 , which is 2 / 3 . [2] The conditional probability table below shows how 300 cases, in all of which the player initially chooses door 1, would be split up, on average, according to the location of the car and the choice of door to open by the host.
Probability that D 1 = 2. Table 1 shows the sample space of 36 combinations of rolled values of the two dice, each of which occurs with probability 1/36, with the numbers displayed in the red and dark gray cells being D 1 + D 2. D 1 = 2 in exactly 6 of the 36 outcomes; thus P(D 1 = 2) = 6 ⁄ 36 = 1 ⁄ 6:
B is pardoned and the warden mentions C to be executed: 1 / 3 of the cases; C is pardoned and the warden mentions B to be executed: 1 / 3 of the cases; With the stipulation that the warden will choose randomly, in the 1 / 3 of the time that A is to be pardoned, there is a 1 / 2 chance he will say B and 1 / 2 ...
Given , the Radon-Nikodym theorem implies that there is [3] a -measurable random variable ():, called the conditional probability, such that () = for every , and such a random variable is uniquely defined up to sets of probability zero. A conditional probability is called regular if () is a probability measure on (,) for all a.e.
Conditional probabilities, conditional expectations, and conditional probability distributions are treated on three levels: discrete probabilities, probability density functions, and measure theory. Conditioning leads to a non-random result if the condition is completely specified; otherwise, if the condition is left random, the result of ...
The conditional probability the car is behind Door 2 given the player has picked Door 1 and has seen the host open Door 3 is defined as the probability the car is behind Door 2 in the cases the host opens Door 3 (1/3) divided by the probability of all cases where the host opens Door 3 (1/2), therefore the conditional probability is (1/3)/(1/2)=2/3.
The conditional probability at any interior node is the average of the conditional probabilities of its children. The latter property is important because it implies that any interior node whose conditional probability is less than 1 has at least one child whose conditional probability is less than 1.