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  2. Panjer recursion - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Panjer_recursion

    The Panjer recursion makes use of this iterative relationship to specify a recursive way of constructing the probability distribution of S. In the following W N ( x ) {\displaystyle W_{N}(x)\,} denotes the probability generating function of N : for this see the table in (a,b,0) class of distributions .

  3. Buffon's needle problem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Buffon's_needle_problem

    We can calculate the probability P as the product of two probabilities: P = P 1 · P 2, where P 1 is the probability that the center of the needle falls close enough to a line for the needle to possibly cross it, and P 2 is the probability that the needle actually crosses the line, given that the center is within reach.

  4. Boy or girl paradox - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boy_or_Girl_paradox

    If ε is now set to ⁠ 1 / 7 ⁠, the probability becomes ⁠ 13 / 27 ⁠, or about 0.48. In fact, as ε approaches 0, the total probability goes to ⁠ 1 / 2 ⁠, which is the answer expected when one child is sampled (e.g. the oldest child is a boy) and is thus removed from the pool of possible children. In other words, as more and more ...

  5. Probably approximately correct learning - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probably_approximately...

    Further if the above statement for algorithm is true for every concept and for every distribution over , and for all <, < then is (efficiently) PAC learnable (or distribution-free PAC learnable). We can also say that A {\displaystyle A} is a PAC learning algorithm for C {\displaystyle C} .

  6. Checking whether a coin is fair - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Checking_whether_a_coin_is...

    In statistics, the question of checking whether a coin is fair is one whose importance lies, firstly, in providing a simple problem on which to illustrate basic ideas of statistical inference and, secondly, in providing a simple problem that can be used to compare various competing methods of statistical inference, including decision theory.

  7. Probability interpretations - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_interpretations

    Epistemic or subjective probability is sometimes called credence, as opposed to the term chance for a propensity probability. Some examples of epistemic probability are to assign a probability to the proposition that a proposed law of physics is true or to determine how probable it is that a suspect committed a crime, based on the evidence ...

  8. Prior probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prior_probability

    An informative prior expresses specific, definite information about a variable. An example is a prior distribution for the temperature at noon tomorrow. A reasonable approach is to make the prior a normal distribution with expected value equal to today's noontime temperature, with variance equal to the day-to-day variance of atmospheric temperature, or a distribution of the temperature for ...

  9. Sample space - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sample_space

    The probability of the event that the sum + is five is , since four of the thirty-six equally likely pairs of outcomes sum to five. If the sample space was all of the possible sums obtained from rolling two six-sided dice, the above formula can still be applied because the dice rolls are fair, but the number of outcomes in a given event will vary.

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