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Chart of Democratic-candidate lead over Republican candidate in final poll and results by year, 1936 to 2016. Gallup was the first polling organization to conduct accurate opinion polling for United States presidential elections.
Since then, 19 presidential elections have occurred in which a candidate was elected or reelected without gaining a majority of the popular vote. [4] Since the 1988 election , the popular vote of presidential elections was decided by single-digit margins, the longest streak of close-election results since states began popularly electing ...
The poll was conducted Nov. 1-4, 2016, ahead of the Nov. 8, 2016, election. It took until 1:30 a.m. the next day for the Associated Press to call the race for Trump . Trump finished with a 9.4 ...
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2020 United States presidential election. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters (LV) is prioritized, then registered voters (RV), then adults (A). Polling in the 2020 election was considerably less ...
The U.S. presidential election is just weeks away, and margins in the polls remain slim. ... How accurate have election odds or polls been in past presidential elections?
It's completely normal for polls to be off by a few points; since 1998, general-election polls for president, U.S. Senate and governor conducted within 21 days of the election have had a weighted ...
The margin of victory in a presidential election is the difference between the number of Electoral College votes garnered by the candidate with an absolute majority of electoral votes (since 1964, it has been 270 out of 538) and the number received by the second place candidate (currently in the range of 2 to 538, a margin of one vote is only possible with an odd total number of electors or a ...
How accurate have election odds or polls been in past presidential elections? The betting favorite has only lost twice since 1866 , according to the Conversation, a nonprofit news organization.