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The constituency was created in 1918 when the two-seat Portsmouth constituency was split into three divisions: Central, North and South.. It was abolished for the 1950 general election and largely replaced by a new Portsmouth West constituency as the axis of division changed, but was re-established for the February 1974 general election.
One such model was proposed by Anthony Downs (1957) and is adapted by William H. Riker and Peter Ordeshook, in “A Theory of the Calculus of Voting” (Riker and Ordeshook 1968) V = pB − C + D. where V = the proxy for the probability that the voter will turn out p = probability of vote “mattering”
See 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies for further details.. For the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies, which redrew the constituency map ahead of the 2024 United Kingdom general election, the Boundary Commission for England opted to combine Hampshire with Berkshire and Surrey as a sub-region of the South East Region.
The Electoral Calculus tool that creates user-defined polls can project seats based on any numbers provided, from plausible scenarios based on current polling data to more unlikely outcomes.
This is a list of electoral divisions and wards in the ceremonial county of Hampshire in South East England.All changes since the re-organisation of local government following the passing of the Local Government Act 1972 are shown.
Electoral Calculus was founded and is run by Martin Baxter, [1] who was a financial analyst specialising in mathematical modelling. [2] The Electoral Calculus website includes election data, predictions and analysis. It has separate sections for elections in Scotland and in Northern Ireland. [3]
North West Hampshire CC: 76,004 Hampshire Basingstoke and Deane / Test Valley Oxford East BC: 72,731 Oxfordshire Oxford: Oxford West and Abingdon CC: 72,004 Oxfordshire Oxford / Vale of White Horse Portsmouth North BC: 71,844 Hampshire Portsmouth: Portsmouth South BC: 74,253 Hampshire Portsmouth Reading Central BC: 71,283 Berkshire Reading
Fareham was a constituency in Hampshire [n 1] represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament.From 2015 to 2024, it had been represented by Suella Braverman of the Conservative Party.