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Election guru Nate Silver revealed his latest forecast between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris with ... Silver’s model shows Trump has a 51.5% chance of clinching the Electoral College while ...
Pollster Nate Silver said that a 50/50 forecast for the presidential election means that people should start planning for the possibility that former President Trump takes back the White House in ...
“In an election where the seven battleground states are all polling within a percentage point or two, 50-50 is the only responsible forecast,” Silver, whose model currently rates the ...
Silver was named one of the world's 100 most influential people by Time in 2009 after his election forecasting model correctly predicted the outcomes in 49 of 50 states in the 2008 U.S. presidential election. [5] His subsequent models predicted the outcome of the 2012 and 2020 presidential elections with high accuracy.
The first column of the renamed FiveThirtyEight: Nate Silver's Political Calculus appeared in the Times on August 25, 2010, with the introduction of U.S. Senate election forecasts. At the same time, Silver published a brief history of the blog. [538 43] All columns from the original FiveThirtyEight were also archived for public access. [40]
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