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The Keys to the White House, also known as the 13 keys, is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States.It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction.
After predicting the winners of the previous five elections, The Literary Digest (based on cards mailed in by its readers) predicted that Alf Landon would win by a large margin. George Gallup predicted a Roosevelt win, based on statistical random sampling within 1.1 percent of the Literary Digest results.
On September 5, 2024, Lichtman predicted that Harris would win the election. [55] On November 5, 2024, contrary to Lichtman's prediction, Donald Trump won the 2024 presidential election. [8] This was the first time Lichtman inaccurately predicted both the popular vote and the Electoral College outcome.
Are all the election 2024 polls and predictions helping? ... who worked on both of Barack Obama presidential campaigns in 2008 and 2012. ... Predicting the 2024 presidential winner: Donald Trump ...
More: Historian who accurately predicted 9 of last 10 presidential elections makes his 2024 pick Why do Americans love political predictions? Lichtman’s work isn’t your average academic ...
Historian Allan Lichtman has announced his prediction on whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris will win the 2024 presidential election. Historian who accurately predicted 9 of last 10 presidential ...
As of the 2024 presidential election, this is the last time a Democratic candidate won Carson City, as well as the last time that a presidential candidate has carried the state by a double-digit margin. Obama's winning margin of over 120,000 votes is the largest in history for a presidential candidate in Nevada, with no one else ever winning by ...
Known for correctly predicting the results of the last nine out of 10 presidential elections, Lichtman said on his YouTube channel Tuesday night that his prediction has not changed, despite ...