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What is the likelihood that the Fed will change the Federal target rate at upcoming FOMC meetings, according to interest rate traders? Use CME FedWatch to track the probabilities of changes to the Fed rate, as implied by 30-Day Fed Funds futures prices.
Get an overview of how to read and use the CME FedWatch Tool to predict rate hike increase probability. Learn more.
Using this information, CME Group created the FedWatch Tool. This tool acts as a barometer for market participants to gauge the markets expectation of potential changes to the fed funds target rate while assessing potential Fed movements around FOMC meetings.
The CME FedWatch Tool calculates unconditional probabilities of Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting outcomes to generate a binary probability tree.
The FedWatch tool from CME Group has emerged as a reliable resource for determining Federal Reserve rate moves. The interest rates indicator uses Fed Funds’ futures prices to display current and historical probabilities of FOMC rate outcomes for a specific Fed meeting.
Gain a better understanding of our most popular tool, the CME FedWatch tool, which uses 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices to gauge the probability of an upcoming rate hike.
利率交易者認為聯準會（港譯聯儲局）在即將到來的FOMC會議變更聯準會目標利率的可能性有多大？. 從30天聯邦基金期貨定價數據推算，分析聯準會利率變動與美國貨幣政策的可能走向。. 媒體：若報告引用利率的可能走向，請註明數據來源為「芝商所FedWatch工具
30日物フェデラル・ファンド（FF）金利先物の価格データに織り込まれているFF金利、およびFRBが金融政策を変更する確率を分析しています。. メディアの方へ：政策金利変更の確率を貴社の報道で使用する際は、「CMEのFedWatch ツール」と明示してください。.
CME FedWatch 도구를 이용하여 연방기금 목표금리에 따른 차기 연방공개시장위원회 (FOMC)의 금리 인상 시기를 가늠해 보세요. 도구 보기.
Visualize the potential impacts of FOMC decisions on SOFR expectations. CME SOFRWatch provides a view of where CME SOFR futures prices could settle if the user’s expectations prevail. Utilize this output to understand what the market is pricing in for SOFR based on current Fed Funds levels.