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  2. Checking whether a coin is fair - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Checking_whether_a_coin_is...

    (Note: r is the probability of obtaining heads when tossing the same coin once.) Plot of the probability density f(r | H = 7, T = 3) = 1320 r 7 (1 − r) 3 with r ranging from 0 to 1. The probability for an unbiased coin (defined for this purpose as one whose probability of coming down heads is somewhere between 45% and 55%)

  3. Fair coin - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fair_coin

    One for which the probability is not 1/2 is called a biased or unfair coin. In theoretical studies, the assumption that a coin is fair is often made by referring to an ideal coin . John Edmund Kerrich performed experiments in coin flipping and found that a coin made from a wooden disk about the size of a crown and coated on one side with lead ...

  4. Likelihood function - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Likelihood_function

    Consider a simple statistical model of a coin flip: a single parameter that expresses the "fairness" of the coin. The parameter is the probability that a coin lands heads up ("H") when tossed. can take on any value within the range 0.0 to 1.0. For a perfectly fair coin, =. Imagine flipping a fair coin twice, and observing two heads in two ...

  5. Coin flipping - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coin_flipping

    Tossing a coin. Coin flipping, coin tossing, or heads or tails is the practice of throwing a coin in the air and checking which side is showing when it lands, in order to randomly choose between two alternatives. It is a form of sortition which inherently has two possible outcomes. The party who calls the side that is facing up when the coin ...

  6. Random walk - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Random_walk

    An elementary example of a random walk is the random walk on the integer number line, , which starts at 0 and at each step moves +1 or −1 with equal probability. This walk can be illustrated as follows. A marker is placed at zero on the number line, and a fair coin is flipped.

  7. Method of conditional probabilities - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Method_of_conditional...

    If the three coins are flipped randomly, the expected number of tails is 1.5. Thus, there must be some outcome (way of flipping the coins) so that the number of tails is at least 1.5. Since the number of tails is an integer, in such an outcome there are at least 2 tails. QED. In this example the random experiment consists of flipping three fair ...

  8. Probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability

    Probability is the branch of mathematics and statistics concerning events and numerical descriptions of how likely they are to occur. The probability of an event is a number between 0 and 1; the larger the probability, the more likely an event is to occur. [note 1] [1] [2] A simple example is the tossing of a fair (unbiased) coin. Since the ...

  9. Bernoulli process - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bernoulli_process

    A Bernoulli process is a finite or infinite sequence of independent random variables X 1, X 2, X 3, ..., such that . for each i, the value of X i is either 0 or 1;; for all values of , the probability p that X i = 1 is the same.