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Presidential election polls 2024: Latest surveys on Harris vs. Trump with 12 days to go. Kinsey Crowley, USA TODAY. Updated October 25, 2024 at 9:01 AM.
The following head-to-head polls feature some of the individuals who officially declared their candidacies. The incumbent president, Joe Biden , won the Democratic primaries. On July 21, 2024, Biden withdrew from the presidential campaign and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris , who shortly thereafter became the official nominee of the ...
The poll of 1,297 likely voters, sponsored by NPR and PBS, saw 51% of respondents supporting Harris while 47% supported Trump. The remaining 2% supported a third-party candidate. The remaining 2% ...
You can check which is which by looking them up on 538's pollster ratings page. If a pollster has a 3.0 rating, you should take it pretty seriously; if it has a 0.5 rating, it's not very reliable ...
Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on ...
David Shor (born 1991) [1] is an American data scientist and political consultant known for analyzing political polls. [2] He serves as head of data science with Blue Rose Research [1] in New York City, [3] and is a senior fellow with the Center for American Progress Action Fund. [4]
Two words sum up the race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris with fewer than 10 weeks to go until Election Day: changed and close. ... And given the polling errors of 2016 and especially 2020 ...
Live election results and related data for Senate, House and governor's races Senate Outlook 2014 Forecasts for 2014’s Senate races, based on HuffPost Pollster’s poll-tracking model